Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if you know the secrets the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that wise money bettors use is knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great instance. I actually analyzed the West Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Florida had typically the edge in the match. Nonetheless I also understood that there were a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this kind of game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West California vs . Louisville

This activity features all the signs of being one associated with the best games connected with the year, with the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Rest of the world Virginia coming again from becoming down massive in the next 1 / 4 to winning inside overtime, however,.

So what’s the game search like this year?

If this game were turning into played from a new basic field, West California would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented roll. They haven’t lost given that July. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROAD games.

These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, the particular extra benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not look like very much, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that excess point will make the change between a push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your house since Dec 20, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game at home, while averaging only quitting 15. six points for each game from home. In case you decided not to do the figures, that means given that their very own last home reduction they’ve averaged beating his or her opposing team by way of about thirty four items per game.

Furthermore UFABETเว็บตรง , the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the pass on, on average, by way of 13 things per activity at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

The majority of those stats ended up piled up during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They already have possessed recent games through which they are yet to only scored 28, 3, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Oh E. or Michigan. Many people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still a close match to phone. Yet the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is definitely to lay off this game and not necessarily guess at all. There are better video games this quick with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to gain a new punt for a new TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big they will could very well still win immediately after building so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular activity, people serious concerning gambling saved money they can put to better apply on upcoming games.