Sports playing is often very profitable if a person know the secrets the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make cash. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a perfect example. My partner and i analyzed this Western Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West Virginia had the particular edge in the activity. Yet , I actually also recognized that there have been a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not guarantee on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This online game possesses all the signals of being one of the most effective games of the year, using both equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, using Western Virginia coming again from staying down major in the independence day fraction to winning inside overtime.

So what’s the game appear like this year?

In the event that this sport were turning into played with a new simple field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they dropped to Virginia Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 PATH games.

แทงบอลสเต็ป are some very impressive stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s online game. Plus, often the added bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This might not seem to be like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up such as this, that excess point could make the difference between a push and a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home game titles.

And if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your house since 12 , eighteen, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for every game in the home, while averaging only quitting 15. 6 points every game from home. In case anyone did not do the math, that means given that his or her last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their particular opponents by way of about thirty four points per game.

What’s more amazing, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten this spread, on average, by 13 things per sport at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone go against that?

Here’s the way…

Nearly all of those stats had been built up during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They already have had recent games by which they have already only scored 35, 12, 24 points. And these games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. These people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still the close video game to get in touch with. But the things i look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation is definitely to lay off this game and definitely not gamble at all. There will be better game titles this end of the week with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for a good TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big which they can still win soon after generating so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific sport, people really serious concerning sports betting saved money these people can put to better use on coming games.