Sports bets can be very profitable if you know the techniques often the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect example. My spouse and i analyzed typically the Western side Va vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West Virginia had this edge in the match. Yet , I also understood that there are a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not bet on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va versus Louisville

This game possesses all the signs of being one involving the very best games of the year, together with each teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, together with West Virginia coming again from being down large in the 4th quarter to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport search like this year?

In the event that this video game were appearing played with a new simple field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since เว็บแทงบอล was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented spin. They will haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they misplaced to Va Tech. Inside the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s games. Plus, often the added in reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up this way, that extra point will certainly make the distinction between some sort of push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home video games.

Together with if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at your home since Dec eighteen, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points each game at home, while hitting only letting go of 15. six points every game with home. In case a person failed to do the math, that means due to the fact their particular last home damage they are yet to averaged beating their particular opponents by way of about thirty four factors per game.

In addition impressive, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by 13 things per sport at home since 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats were developed during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already got recent games through which they also have only scored twenty eight, 23, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Ohio Stycken. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

Basically the fact that this is still a good close video game to phone. Yet what I look to get is West Virginia’s security to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero cause to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement will be to lay off this particular game and not really wager at all. There are usually better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a good TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big that they could still win following generating so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this video game, people critical regarding gambling saved money they can put to better make use of on upcoming games.