Sports betting is often very profitable if you know the secrets and techniques this “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make funds. One of the greatest secrets that smart money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a perfect instance. I actually analyzed this Western side California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West California had typically the edge in the game. Nonetheless My spouse and i also recognized that there was a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not guarantee on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This video game offers all the indicators of being one of the best games connected with the year, having both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from being down big in the next quarter to winning in overtime.

So what’s the game appear like this year?

In case this match were turning into played in a new neutral field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Virginia Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the included added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up such as this, that special point might make the difference between a good push and even a loss.

But what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since 12 , 16, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points each game at home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points for each game from home. In บาคาร่าสายฟ้า failed to do the math, that means due to the fact their own last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their own competitors by about thirty four things per game.

Furthermore outstanding, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten the spread, on average, by 13 items per sport at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats have been built up during the 2005 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They are yet to possessed recent games by which they’ve only scored 35, 12, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

In essence that this is still some sort of close sport to get in touch with. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this particular game and not bet at all. There will be better games this saturday and sunday with more simple positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big they will may possibly still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific match, people really serious regarding gambling saved money they will can offer better apply on future games.