Sports betting is often very profitable if anyone know the strategies the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make money. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best example. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western side Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West Las vegas had the particular edge in the sport. However , My partner and i also came to the realization that there was a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not guess on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This game has all the signals of being one of the very best games connected with the year, with equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, using Western side Virginia coming again from staying down huge in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the action appear like this year?

In the event this game were being played with a good simple field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 PATH games.

All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s game. Plus, often the extra reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like much, but in a near match-up similar to this, that more point will make the big difference between a push in addition to a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home activities.

Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at your home since January 16, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points every game at your home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 7 points for each game at home. In case you decided not to do the math concepts, that means considering his or her last home damage they’ve averaged beating their opposing team by way of about 34 details per game.

Furthermore amazing, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten this spread, on average, simply by 13 things per sport at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s how…

The majority of those stats have been established during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They already have got recent games that has they’ve only scored twenty eight, 12, 24 points. These types of games weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. That they have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The end result is that this is still some sort of close activity to phone. Although what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If กดที่นี่ , Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation will be to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily bet at all. There are usually better video games this weekend with more simple advantages.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s edge was not so big they could still win soon after producing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of activity, people really serious concerning wagering saved money they can offer better work with on coming games.