Sports bets can be extremely profitable if a person know the techniques this “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make cash. One of the greatest secrets that clever money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a ideal example. I actually analyzed often the Western Las vegas vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Virginia had this edge in the sport. Nevertheless , I also recognized that there was a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not bet on this game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This video game has all the signals of being one associated with the best games connected with the year, having both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, with Western world Virginia coming back again from becoming down big in the fourth fraction to winning in overtime.

So what’s the overall game appear like this year?

In the event that this game were appearing played at a neutral field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost since July. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Va Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.

These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the extra reward is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like very much, but in a near match-up like this, that extra point might make the variation between a new push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own final 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in the home since 12 , 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for each game in your own home, while hitting only stopping 15. 8 points every game at home. In case you didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering that their particular last home damage they’ve averaged beating their opponents simply by about 34 things per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this get spread around, on average, by 13 things per activity at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can ufabet168s.com/ufabet%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%A7%E0%B9%87%E0%B8%9A%E0%B9%84%E0%B8%AB%E0%B8%99%E0%B8%94%E0%B8%B5 not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

The majority of those stats had been developed during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They also have possessed recent games through which they’ve only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. And the games weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

The bottom line is the fact that this is still a close sport to call up. But what I look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation will be to lay off this game and not wager at all. There happen to be better game titles this end of the week with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for the TD. The results was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big they will may still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this video game, people severe about gambling saved money they can offer better employ on approaching games.