Sports gambling is often very profitable if an individual know the secrets the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a great example of this. We analyzed typically the Western world Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West California had often the edge in the sport. Yet , My spouse and i also understood that there have been a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on this kind of game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This game possesses all the indicators of being one involving the very best games of the year, having both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Rest of the world Virginia coming rear from being down massive in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the action search like this year?

When this sport were appearing played at the basic field, West Va would certainly probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia can be on an unprecedented rotate. These people haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.

These are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the particular additional benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not appear like substantially, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that spare point can make the big difference between a good push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are usually almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home activities.

And if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since January eighteen, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for every game at your home, while hitting only giving up 15. 6 points each game in home. In PPH Bookie Service didn’t do the mathematics, that means since their last home loss they also have averaged beating their oppositions by means of about 34 things per game.

In addition impressive, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten this divide, on average, by 13 things per video game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Nearly all of those stats have been piled up during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They’ve had recent games that has they have already only scored 36, 12, 24 points. And the online games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still some sort of close sport to contact. Yet what I look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off this specific game and certainly not bet at all. There happen to be better game titles this weekend with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to come back the punt for the TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s edge had not been so big they could very well still win soon after doing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on that game, people critical about gambling saved money these people can put to better make use of on coming games.